Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 45 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 1:33 PM to 11:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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On September 26, 2026 at 1:33 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 45 minute chart read 30.8145. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.5814.7940.17Sep 26, 1:33 PM ET11:18 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:33 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.5814.7940.17Sep 26, 1:33 PM ET11:18 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:33 PM ET30.8145
Projected value at 11:18 AM ET-0.0345812
Actual value at 11:18 AM ET14.5769
Projected change across the window-30.8491
Actual change across the window-16.2376
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.90×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.90 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 29 (10:33 AM ET), where they sat 13.8403 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (9:03 PM ET) with a gap of 52.2552. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 13 (11:18 PM ET), a move of -6.24232. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:18 PM-13.164229.1171+42.2814
66:03 PM-11.60732.4731+44.0801
1210:33 PM-8.9231636.6497+45.5729
183:03 AM-6.7867520.2311+27.0178
247:33 AM-3.1910120.234+23.425
2911:18 AM-0.034581214.5769+14.6115

About Awesome Oscillator on a 45 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 45 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 22.5 hours of trading, so the window above describes 22.5 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

Chart reader Awesome Oscillator for MetaTrader 5 Yes. Alongside the regular Awesome Oscillator, PredictIndicators shows where the Awesome Oscillator is predicted to go next on BTCUSD, updated as each bar closes, in NinjaTrader 8 and MT5. Awesome Oscillator indicator for NinjaTrader 8 and MT5 →

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.