Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 30-minute chart, September 25, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 25, 2026, 6:48 PM to 9:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 25, 2026 at 6:48 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 30-minute chart read -159.434. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-150.8-64.9121.01Sep 25, 6:48 PM ET9:18 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:48 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-150.8-64.9121.01Sep 25, 6:48 PM ET9:18 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:48 PM ET-159.434
Projected value at 9:18 AM ET-0.0232861
Actual value at 9:18 AM ET3.20468
Projected change across the window+159.411
Actual change across the window+162.639
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.98×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.98 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (4:48 AM ET), where they sat 0.696857 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:48 PM ET) with a gap of 176.796. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (1:48 AM ET), a move of +21.4196. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:18 PM10.0892-162.363-172.452
69:48 PM-6.53687-91.0064-84.4696
1212:48 AM-10.2155-92.4762-82.2608
183:48 AM-7.63482-11.967-4.33215
246:48 AM-4.0541228.1646+32.2187
299:18 AM-0.02328613.20468+3.22796

About Awesome Oscillator on a 30-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 30-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 15 hours of trading, so the window above describes 15 hours of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.