Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 4:49 PM to 5:18 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 4:49 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -104.548. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:18 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-108.4-16.2575.85Sep 27, 4:49 PM ET5:18 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:49 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-108.4-16.2575.85Sep 27, 4:49 PM ET5:18 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:49 PM ET-104.548
Projected value at 5:18 PM ET-1.25277
Actual value at 5:18 PM ET46.832
Projected change across the window+103.295
Actual change across the window+151.38
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (5:06 PM ET), where they sat 4.33112 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (5:14 PM ET) with a gap of 91.0837. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (5:08 PM ET), a move of +19.9626. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:50 PM-50.4978-114.434-63.9367
64:55 PM-28.4306-89.0284-60.5978
125:01 PM-15.9739-66.4489-50.4751
185:07 PM-8.956543.39138+12.3479
245:13 PM-5.0912379.1229+84.2141
295:18 PM-1.2527746.832+48.0847

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.