Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 4:47 PM to 5:16 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 4:47 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -120.721. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:16 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-108.4-16.2575.85Sep 27, 4:47 PM ET5:16 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:47 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-108.4-16.2575.85Sep 27, 4:47 PM ET5:16 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:47 PM ET-120.721
Projected value at 5:16 PM ET-2.39868
Actual value at 5:16 PM ET41.9935
Projected change across the window+118.322
Actual change across the window+162.715
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.73×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.73 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (5:03 PM ET), where they sat 4.52946 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (4:48 PM ET) with a gap of 95.3733. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (5:04 PM ET), a move of +19.9626. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:48 PM-21.8752-117.248-95.3733
64:53 PM-7.49122-79.6176-72.1264
124:59 PM-2.96171-52.9795-50.0178
185:05 PM0.38856737.5263+37.1377
245:11 PM-0.71519188.22+88.9352
295:16 PM-2.3986841.9935+44.3922

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.