Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 4:05 PM to 4:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 4:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 28.1944. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-62.14-19.8122.51Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET4:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-62.14-19.8122.51Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET4:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:05 PM ET28.1944
Projected value at 4:34 PM ET-5.85132
Actual value at 4:34 PM ET1.45156
Projected change across the window-34.0457
Actual change across the window-26.7428
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.27×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.27 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 3 (4:07 PM ET), where they sat 4.90886 apart, and furthest at bar 20 (4:25 PM ET) with a gap of 57.3082. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (4:06 PM ET), a move of -16.39. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:06 PM3.2467611.8044+8.55759
64:11 PM-20.4214-39.0899-18.6686
124:17 PM-24.4398-45.1797-20.74
184:23 PM-13.9223-63.5651-49.6428
244:29 PM-6.51278-49.2764-42.7637
294:34 PM-5.851321.45156+7.30288

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.