Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 3:42 PM to 4:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 3:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -49.2764. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-71.32-13.1245.08Sep 27, 3:42 PM ET4:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 3:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-71.32-13.1245.08Sep 27, 3:42 PM ET4:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 3:42 PM ET-49.2764
Projected value at 4:11 PM ET0.901295
Actual value at 4:11 PM ET-79.1415
Projected change across the window+50.1777
Actual change across the window-29.8651
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.68 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (4:00 PM ET), where they sat 0.600097 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (4:11 PM ET) with a gap of 80.0428. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (4:08 PM ET), a move of -26.0994. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
13:43 PM19.3125-42.5708-61.8833
63:48 PM29.163311.4951-17.6682
123:54 PM29.861219.6936-10.1676
184:00 PM29.553828.9537-0.600097
244:06 PM15.2201-2.58953-17.8096
294:11 PM0.901295-79.1415-80.0428

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.