Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 2:52 PM to 3:21 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 2:52 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -193.575. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:21 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-180.6-83.912.78Sep 27, 2:52 PM ET3:21 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:52 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-180.6-83.912.78Sep 27, 2:52 PM ET3:21 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:52 PM ET-193.575
Projected value at 3:21 PM ET6.11738
Actual value at 3:21 PM ET-47.9644
Projected change across the window+199.692
Actual change across the window+145.611
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.37×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.37 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (3:21 PM ET), where they sat 54.0817 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (2:52 PM ET) with a gap of 219.341. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (2:56 PM ET), a move of +34.3612. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:53 PM19.4666-188.346-207.813
62:58 PM12.744-76.4733-89.2173
123:04 PM9.26925-153.861-163.13
183:10 PM3.00192-150.339-153.341
243:16 PM0.457997-144.35-144.808
293:21 PM6.11738-47.9644-54.0817

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.