Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:38 PM to 2:07 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:38 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 138.539. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:07 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-124.841.5207.8Sep 27, 1:38 PM ET2:07 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:38 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-124.841.5207.8Sep 27, 1:38 PM ET2:07 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:38 PM ET138.539
Projected value at 2:07 PM ET-5.06896
Actual value at 2:07 PM ET-131.411
Projected change across the window-143.608
Actual change across the window-269.95
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading23 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.53×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.53 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 23 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (1:53 PM ET), where they sat 1.85496 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (1:42 PM ET) with a gap of 197.31. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:39 PM ET), a move of +37.5807. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:39 PM57.0146176.12+119.106
61:44 PM22.6751183.281+160.606
121:50 PM4.6701254.138+49.4679
181:56 PM0.651087-57.3886-58.0397
242:02 PM-4.63751-142.274-137.636
292:07 PM-5.06896-131.411-126.342

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.