Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:36 PM to 2:05 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:36 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 176.12. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:05 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-127.440.11207.7Sep 27, 1:36 PM ET2:05 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:36 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-127.440.11207.7Sep 27, 1:36 PM ET2:05 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:36 PM ET176.12
Projected value at 2:05 PM ET-6.8237
Actual value at 2:05 PM ET-149.927
Projected change across the window-182.944
Actual change across the window-326.047
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (1:50 PM ET), where they sat 4.41772 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:39 PM ET) with a gap of 184.255. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:37 PM ET), a move of +33.7356. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:37 PM49.0079209.856+160.848
61:42 PM19.0708152.484+133.413
121:48 PM-2.7553937.6986+40.454
181:54 PM-4.53729-80.7008-76.1635
242:00 PM-5.82134-129.55-123.728
292:05 PM-6.8237-149.927-143.103

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.