Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:35 PM to 2:04 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:35 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 209.856. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:04 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-138.334.34207Sep 27, 1:35 PM ET2:04 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:35 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-138.334.34207Sep 27, 1:35 PM ET2:04 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:35 PM ET209.856
Projected value at 2:04 PM ET-5.30025
Actual value at 2:04 PM ET-161.485
Projected change across the window-215.156
Actual change across the window-371.34
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.58×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.58 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 14 (1:48 PM ET), where they sat 7.81636 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (1:37 PM ET) with a gap of 190.848. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 5 (1:40 PM ET), a move of -30.7971. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:36 PM42.5364227.371+184.834
61:41 PM15.2924123.618+108.326
121:47 PM-5.3716218.9557+24.3273
181:53 PM-7.42778-104.645-97.2171
241:59 PM-7.09934-116.435-109.336
292:04 PM-5.30025-161.485-156.184

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.