Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:00 PM to 1:29 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -119.811. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 1:29 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-111.7-51.299.113Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET1:29 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:00 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-111.7-51.299.113Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET1:29 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:00 PM ET-119.811
Projected value at 1:29 PM ET-4.8921
Actual value at 1:29 PM ET-9.24838
Projected change across the window+114.919
Actual change across the window+110.562
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.04×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.04 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (1:26 PM ET), where they sat 2.10751 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:00 PM ET) with a gap of 82.2917. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (1:01 PM ET), a move of +30.3023. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:01 PM-31.4792-89.5084-58.0293
61:06 PM-32.3239-19.9818+12.3421
121:12 PM-20.7277-8.10591+12.6218
181:18 PM-10.300812.3771+22.6779
241:24 PM-9.619174.10574+13.7249
291:29 PM-4.8921-9.24838-4.35628

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.