Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 12:20 PM to 12:49 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 12:20 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 65.0803. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:49 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-16.3626.5569.46Sep 27, 12:20 PM ET12:49 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:20 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-16.3626.5569.46Sep 27, 12:20 PM ET12:49 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:20 PM ET65.0803
Projected value at 12:49 PM ET5.53708
Actual value at 12:49 PM ET-22.12
Projected change across the window-59.5432
Actual change across the window-87.2002
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.68×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.68 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (12:45 PM ET), where they sat 0.46741 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (12:34 PM ET) with a gap of 53.6078. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (12:37 PM ET), a move of -10.034. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:21 PM43.027869.1269+26.099
612:26 PM37.411763.1403+25.7286
1212:32 PM15.68460.5749+44.891
1812:38 PM1.5189132.952+31.4331
2412:44 PM3.0896311.9191+8.82949
2912:49 PM5.53708-22.12-27.6571

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.