Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 11:40 AM to 12:09 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 11:40 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -31.1241. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:09 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-37.763.69245.15Sep 27, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-37.763.69245.15Sep 27, 11:40 AM ET12:09 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:40 AM ET-31.1241
Projected value at 12:09 PM ET10.1427
Actual value at 12:09 PM ET42.4473
Projected change across the window+41.2668
Actual change across the window+73.5714
Bars moving the same direction22 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 76% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (11:40 AM ET), where they sat 3.13923 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (11:52 AM ET) with a gap of 54.2605. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (12:03 PM ET), a move of +15.1446. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:41 AM-40.5588-33.6409+6.91798
611:46 AM-31.4755-15.5828+15.8927
1211:52 AM-18.297735.9627+54.2605
1811:58 AM-8.29871-13.1206-4.82194
2412:04 PM-0.31000938.3111+38.6211
2912:09 PM10.142742.4473+32.3046

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.