Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 11:39 AM to 12:08 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 11:39 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -33.6409. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:08 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-29.478.145.67Sep 27, 11:39 AM ET12:08 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:39 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-29.478.145.67Sep 27, 11:39 AM ET12:08 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:39 AM ET-33.6409
Projected value at 12:08 PM ET3.56889
Actual value at 12:08 PM ET38.7041
Projected change across the window+37.2097
Actual change across the window+72.345
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (11:59 AM ET), where they sat 1.79924 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (12:04 PM ET) with a gap of 47.145. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (12:01 PM ET), a move of +15.1446. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:40 AM-24.5789-34.5154-9.93647
611:45 AM-3.32013-5.84597-2.52584
1211:51 AM0.98332536.2655+35.2821
1811:57 AM-1.53968-16.8517-15.312
2412:03 PM2.5486944.5712+42.0225
2912:08 PM3.5688938.7041+35.1353

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.