Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 10:40 AM to 11:09 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 10:40 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -58.526. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:09 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-134.4-18.8696.67Sep 27, 10:40 AM ET11:09 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:40 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-134.4-18.8696.67Sep 27, 10:40 AM ET11:09 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:40 AM ET-58.526
Projected value at 11:09 AM ET14.6167
Actual value at 11:09 AM ET85.4383
Projected change across the window+73.1426
Actual change across the window+143.964
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.51×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.51 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (10:57 AM ET), where they sat 2.65727 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:40 AM ET) with a gap of 91.3893. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 21 (11:01 AM ET), a move of +19.6881. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:41 AM-139.589-54.7568+84.8327
610:46 AM-52.5958-48.7369+3.85899
1210:52 AM-2.33788-31.5766-29.2387
1810:58 AM24.779327.8761+3.09685
2411:04 AM22.7848107.94+85.1552
2911:09 AM14.616785.4383+70.8217

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.