Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 6:39 AM to 7:08 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 6:39 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -35.8084. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:08 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-44.1310.5265.17Sep 27, 6:39 AM ET7:08 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:39 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-44.1310.5265.17Sep 27, 6:39 AM ET7:08 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:39 AM ET-35.8084
Projected value at 7:08 AM ET-1.82489
Actual value at 7:08 AM ET21.3142
Projected change across the window+33.9835
Actual change across the window+57.1226
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.59×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.59 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (6:39 AM ET), where they sat 11.3078 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (6:51 AM ET) with a gap of 84.2507. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (6:46 AM ET), a move of +18.819. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:40 AM-50.5579-34.7822+15.7757
66:45 AM-40.37965.02121+45.4008
126:51 AM-18.661265.5896+84.2507
186:57 AM-5.1224148.0034+53.1258
247:03 AM-0.85101172.5131+73.3642
297:08 AM-1.8248921.3142+23.1391

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.