Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 4:13 AM to 4:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 4:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 56.3554. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 4:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-31.1329.0589.24Sep 27, 4:13 AM ET4:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-31.1329.0589.24Sep 27, 4:13 AM ET4:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:13 AM ET56.3554
Projected value at 4:42 AM ET-21.2067
Actual value at 4:42 AM ET-16.605
Projected change across the window-77.562
Actual change across the window-72.9604
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.06×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.06 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (4:22 AM ET), where they sat 0.210639 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:13 AM ET) with a gap of 40.9671. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (4:19 AM ET), a move of -12.1694. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:14 AM81.005449.3243-31.6811
64:19 AM13.40782.33012-11.0777
124:25 AM-19.6164.54285+24.1589
184:31 AM-39.2149-9.23732+29.9776
244:37 AM-30.6889-25.0675+5.62135
294:42 AM-21.2067-16.605+4.60169

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.