Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 2:45 AM to 3:14 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 2:45 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -22.023. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 3:14 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-41.19-8.64923.89Sep 27, 2:45 AM ET3:14 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 2:45 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-41.19-8.64923.89Sep 27, 2:45 AM ET3:14 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 2:45 AM ET-22.023
Projected value at 3:14 AM ET0.577832
Actual value at 3:14 AM ET-3.43088
Projected change across the window+22.6008
Actual change across the window+18.5921
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (3:11 AM ET), where they sat 1.55323 apart, and furthest at bar 12 (2:57 AM ET) with a gap of 48.1652. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 9 (2:54 AM ET), a move of +8.76815. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
12:46 AM-45.1572-22.6142+22.543
62:51 AM-31.7283-13.8874+17.8409
122:57 AM-19.899528.2657+48.1652
183:03 AM-6.4177717.867+24.2848
243:09 AM-0.21265910.1998+10.4125
293:14 AM0.577832-3.43088-4.00871

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.