Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:52 AM to 2:21 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:52 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 129.938. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:21 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-39.0240.15119.3Sep 27, 1:52 AM ET2:21 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:52 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-39.0240.15119.3Sep 27, 1:52 AM ET2:21 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:52 AM ET129.938
Projected value at 2:21 AM ET-29.1842
Actual value at 2:21 AM ET30.1926
Projected change across the window-159.122
Actual change across the window-99.7456
Bars moving the same direction26 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.60×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.60 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 90% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (2:07 AM ET), where they sat 14.2191 apart, and furthest at bar 3 (1:55 AM ET) with a gap of 94.0752. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (2:03 AM ET), a move of -15.505. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:53 AM28.1262121.377+93.2508
61:58 AM-13.83662.8188+76.6548
122:04 AM-34.0845-13.4216+20.6629
182:10 AM-49.4849-18.4451+31.0398
242:16 AM-37.15195.01238+42.1643
292:21 AM-29.184230.1926+59.3768

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.