Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:51 AM to 2:20 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:51 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 121.377. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:20 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-28.8741.53111.9Sep 27, 1:51 AM ET2:20 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:51 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-28.8741.53111.9Sep 27, 1:51 AM ET2:20 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:51 AM ET121.377
Projected value at 2:20 AM ET-19.1116
Actual value at 2:20 AM ET30.8695
Projected change across the window-140.489
Actual change across the window-90.5075
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.55×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.55 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 12 (2:02 AM ET), where they sat 0.106288 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (1:51 AM ET) with a gap of 69.4625. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (2:01 AM ET), a move of -15.505. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:52 AM41.7081109.179+67.4711
61:57 AM4.7611752.9351+48.1739
122:03 AM-17.6696-21.4116-3.742
182:09 AM-38.3269-14.2321+24.0948
242:15 AM-29.498411.2753+40.7737
292:20 AM-19.111630.8695+49.9811

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.