Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 27, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 27, 2026, 1:49 AM to 2:18 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 27, 2026 at 1:49 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 98.2416. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 2:18 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.1734.2490.66Sep 27, 1:49 AM ET2:18 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 1:49 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.1734.2490.66Sep 27, 1:49 AM ET2:18 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 1:49 AM ET98.2416
Projected value at 2:18 AM ET-19.5264
Actual value at 2:18 AM ET32.6795
Projected change across the window-117.768
Actual change across the window-65.5621
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.80 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 17 (2:05 AM ET), where they sat 1.49491 apart, and furthest at bar 28 (2:17 AM ET) with a gap of 52.6505. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 8 (1:57 AM ET), a move of -15.505. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
11:50 AM64.887786.2076+21.3199
61:55 AM30.083226.324-3.75925
122:01 AM1.38358-29.7519-31.1355
182:07 AM-22.5802-6.96926+15.6109
242:13 AM-23.030123.9221+46.9522
292:18 AM-19.526432.6795+52.2059

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.