Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 11:18 PM to 11:47 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 11:18 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 46.605. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:47 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.84417.1944.22Sep 26, 11:18 PM ET11:47 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:18 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.84417.1944.22Sep 26, 11:18 PM ET11:47 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:18 PM ET46.605
Projected value at 11:47 PM ET-2.77482
Actual value at 11:47 PM ET4.20544
Projected change across the window-49.3798
Actual change across the window-42.3996
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.16×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.16 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (11:38 PM ET), where they sat 0.00525296 apart, and furthest at bar 14 (11:32 PM ET) with a gap of 58.5688. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (11:35 PM ET), a move of -19.3029. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:19 PM-5.4757845.7359+51.2116
611:24 PM-9.7707622.9+32.6707
1211:30 PM-11.052739.7721+50.8248
1811:36 PM-13.4747-5.82779+7.64692
2411:42 PM-7.5119228.7477+36.2596
2911:47 PM-2.774824.20544+6.98026

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.