Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 11:17 PM to 11:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 11:17 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 45.7359. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-8.39417.9644.31Sep 26, 11:17 PM ET11:46 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-8.39417.9644.31Sep 26, 11:17 PM ET11:46 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:17 PM ET45.7359
Projected value at 11:46 PM ET-4.54959
Actual value at 11:46 PM ET-3.738
Projected change across the window-50.2854
Actual change across the window-49.4739
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.02×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.02 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 20 (11:36 PM ET), where they sat 0.21165 apart, and furthest at bar 13 (11:30 PM ET) with a gap of 57.5037. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 16 (11:33 PM ET), a move of -19.3029. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:18 PM-1.8898340.2677+42.1575
611:23 PM-9.8462921.4816+31.3278
1211:29 PM-9.427446.041+55.4684
1811:35 PM-11.3233-11.5622-0.238875
2411:41 PM-7.6361732.4714+40.1076
2911:46 PM-4.54959-3.738+0.811595

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.