Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 11:07 PM to 11:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 11:07 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 29.4197. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-30.746.0842.9Sep 26, 11:07 PM ET11:36 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-30.746.0842.9Sep 26, 11:07 PM ET11:36 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:07 PM ET29.4197
Projected value at 11:36 PM ET-3.23666
Actual value at 11:36 PM ET-30.7623
Projected change across the window-32.6563
Actual change across the window-60.1819
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.54 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 13 (11:19 PM ET), where they sat 0.445019 apart, and furthest at bar 8 (11:15 PM ET) with a gap of 39.1914. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (11:13 PM ET), a move of -19.3029. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:08 PM27.854439.7721+11.9177
611:13 PM30.58516.77847-23.8067
1211:19 PM21.536821.9818+0.445019
1811:25 PM13.77784.20544-9.57236
2411:31 PM3.1562-18.1851-21.3413
2911:36 PM-3.23666-30.7623-27.5256

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.