Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 10:11 PM to 10:40 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 10:11 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 134.473. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:40 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-31.8347.43126.7Sep 26, 10:11 PM ET10:40 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:11 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-31.8347.43126.7Sep 26, 10:11 PM ET10:40 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:11 PM ET134.473
Projected value at 10:40 PM ET-4.21559
Actual value at 10:40 PM ET20.671
Projected change across the window-138.688
Actual change across the window-113.802
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.22×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.22 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 11 (10:21 PM ET), where they sat 0.0227626 apart, and furthest at bar 2 (10:13 PM ET) with a gap of 104.031. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (10:18 PM ET), a move of -28.361. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:12 PM38.7432129.277+90.5334
610:17 PM7.8066969.0291+61.2225
1210:23 PM-1.7499-24.286-22.5361
1810:29 PM1.85672-32.0555-33.9122
2410:35 PM0.915788-14.5302-15.446
2910:40 PM-4.2155920.671+24.8866

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.