Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 10:08 PM to 10:37 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 10:08 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 126.343. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:37 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-32.4841.93116.3Sep 26, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:08 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-32.4841.93116.3Sep 26, 10:08 PM ET10:37 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:08 PM ET126.343
Projected value at 10:37 PM ET7.31368
Actual value at 10:37 PM ET43.8041
Projected change across the window-119.029
Actual change across the window-82.5385
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.44×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.44 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (10:33 PM ET), where they sat 3.50962 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (10:08 PM ET) with a gap of 103.81. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (10:12 PM ET), a move of -28.361. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:09 PM23.5619108.742+85.1801
610:14 PM11.64347.38029-4.26311
1210:20 PM-0.140229-42.4749-42.3346
1810:26 PM2.01032-25.2047-27.215
2410:32 PM6.21542.69538-3.52002
2910:37 PM7.3136843.8041+36.4904

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.