Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 10:05 PM to 10:34 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 10:05 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 40.6681. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 10:34 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-35.6515.1465.93Sep 26, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 10:05 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-35.6515.1465.93Sep 26, 10:05 PM ET10:34 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 10:05 PM ET40.6681
Projected value at 10:34 PM ET-3.25309
Actual value at 10:34 PM ET72.7497
Projected change across the window-43.9212
Actual change across the window+32.0816
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.37×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall, while it rose instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.37 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 16 (10:20 PM ET), where they sat 0.747438 apart, and furthest at bar 29 (10:34 PM ET) with a gap of 76.0028. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (10:06 PM ET), a move of -18.6064. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
110:06 PM25.108522.0617-3.04678
610:11 PM1.41987-34.1136-35.5335
1210:17 PM-18.703-26.4231-7.72006
1810:23 PM-21.3832-8.77915+12.604
2410:29 PM-10.567134.5587+45.1259
2910:34 PM-3.2530972.7497+76.0028

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.