Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 9:17 PM to 9:46 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 9:17 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 94.6614. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:46 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-114.5-15.7583.04Sep 26, 9:17 PM ET9:46 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:17 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-114.5-15.7583.04Sep 26, 9:17 PM ET9:46 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:17 PM ET94.6614
Projected value at 9:46 PM ET-26.0326
Actual value at 9:46 PM ET-120.389
Projected change across the window-120.694
Actual change across the window-215.05
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 25 (9:41 PM ET), where they sat 12.6329 apart, and furthest at bar 10 (9:27 PM ET) with a gap of 99.8327. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 25 (9:42 PM ET), a move of -32.9371. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:18 PM48.532196.3054+47.7733
69:23 PM6.3653392.6643+86.299
129:29 PM-13.019674.7475+87.7671
189:35 PM-27.460232.3227+59.7828
249:41 PM-33.6023-46.2352-12.6329
299:46 PM-26.0326-120.389-94.3562

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.