Awesome Oscillator prediction vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1 minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 9:15 PM to 9:44 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

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Educational purposes only — predictions are not certainties or financial advice.

On September 26, 2026 at 9:15 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1 minute chart read 95.4841. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:44 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-114.6-16.1682.27Sep 26, 9:15 PM ET9:44 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:15 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-114.6-16.1682.27Sep 26, 9:15 PM ET9:44 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:15 PM ET95.4841
Projected value at 9:44 PM ET-21.989
Actual value at 9:44 PM ET-114.523
Projected change across the window-117.473
Actual change across the window-210.007
Bars moving the same direction25 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 86% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 22 (9:36 PM ET), where they sat 4.66725 apart, and furthest at bar 25 (9:40 PM ET) with a gap of 109.598. The largest single bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (9:38 PM ET), a move of -32.9371. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar by bar read out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:16 PM60.55895.0038+34.4457
69:21 PM40.976593.2226+52.2461
129:27 PM16.670949.9061+33.2352
189:33 PM-4.4778525.1317+29.6096
249:39 PM-15.86-108.581-92.7208
299:44 PM-21.989-114.523-92.5335

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1 minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1 minute timeframe a 30 bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Questions traders ask

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.