Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 9:14 PM to 9:43 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 9:14 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 95.0038. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:43 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-114.6-16.3681.89Sep 26, 9:14 PM ET9:43 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:14 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-114.6-16.3681.89Sep 26, 9:14 PM ET9:43 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:14 PM ET95.0038
Projected value at 9:43 PM ET-22.8422
Actual value at 9:43 PM ET-116.92
Projected change across the window-117.846
Actual change across the window-211.924
Bars moving the same direction24 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.56×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.56 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 83% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (9:34 PM ET), where they sat 1.1669 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (9:38 PM ET) with a gap of 108.464. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (9:36 PM ET), a move of -32.9371. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:15 PM51.562195.0856+43.5236
69:20 PM28.509894.7831+66.2733
129:26 PM6.7706640.5906+33.8199
189:32 PM-9.6633315.9499+25.6132
249:38 PM-19.1962-127.66-108.464
299:43 PM-22.8422-116.92-94.0781

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.