Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 9:07 PM to 9:36 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 9:07 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 92.7366. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:36 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-116.8-18.6479.55Sep 26, 9:07 PM ET9:36 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 9:07 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-116.8-18.6479.55Sep 26, 9:07 PM ET9:36 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 9:07 PM ET92.7366
Projected value at 9:36 PM ET-24.0007
Actual value at 9:36 PM ET17.1401
Projected change across the window-116.737
Actual change across the window-75.5965
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.54×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.54 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 15 (9:21 PM ET), where they sat 1.4368 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (9:07 PM ET) with a gap of 130.885. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 15 (9:22 PM ET), a move of -32.9371. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
19:08 PM-40.1483.5582+123.698
69:13 PM-49.760837.5907+87.3515
129:19 PM-49.45245.02268+54.4751
189:25 PM-45.6611-127.805-82.1439
249:31 PM-36.4093-126.605-90.1959
299:36 PM-24.000717.1401+41.1408

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.