Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 8:48 PM to 9:17 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 8:48 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -119.07. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:17 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-119.9-44.3931.09Sep 26, 8:48 PM ET9:17 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:48 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-119.9-44.3931.09Sep 26, 8:48 PM ET9:17 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:48 PM ET-119.07
Projected value at 9:17 PM ET18.9806
Actual value at 9:17 PM ET14.3794
Projected change across the window+138.05
Actual change across the window+133.449
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.03×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.03 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 26 (9:13 PM ET), where they sat 0.460242 apart, and furthest at bar 4 (8:52 PM ET) with a gap of 160.461. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (8:55 PM ET), a move of +32.4096. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:49 PM32.3336-114.523-146.856
68:54 PM37.6789-68.8798-106.559
129:00 PM35.475336.4809+1.00558
189:06 PM29.72940.7715+11.0425
249:12 PM22.074719.2836-2.79107
299:17 PM18.980614.3794-4.60119

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.