Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 8:44 PM to 9:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 8:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -130.013. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 9:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-119.1-37.8443.42Sep 26, 8:44 PM ET9:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 8:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-119.1-37.8443.42Sep 26, 8:44 PM ET9:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 8:44 PM ET-130.013
Projected value at 9:13 PM ET22.2562
Actual value at 9:13 PM ET-0.873
Projected change across the window+152.269
Actual change across the window+129.14
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.18×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.18 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 24 (9:07 PM ET), where they sat 2.68492 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (8:44 PM ET) with a gap of 171.077. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 4 (8:48 PM ET), a move of +32.4096. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
18:45 PM40.7508-126.605-167.356
68:50 PM53.843317.1401-36.7032
128:56 PM52.250440.7681-11.4823
189:02 PM39.447829.1774-10.2705
249:08 PM23.442720.6286-2.81419
299:13 PM22.2562-0.873-23.1292

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.