Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 7:43 PM to 8:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 7:43 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -22.4866. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-36.93-12.9211.08Sep 26, 7:43 PM ET8:12 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:43 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-36.93-12.9211.08Sep 26, 7:43 PM ET8:12 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:43 PM ET-22.4866
Projected value at 8:12 PM ET13.8541
Actual value at 8:12 PM ET9.00765
Projected change across the window+36.3407
Actual change across the window+31.4942
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.15×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.15 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 21 (8:03 PM ET), where they sat 0.236671 apart, and furthest at bar 1 (7:44 PM ET) with a gap of 36.4688. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 6 (7:49 PM ET), a move of +9.10897. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:44 PM5.3929-31.0759-36.4688
67:49 PM-3.43714-20.9657-17.5286
127:55 PM6.96227-8.29615-15.2584
188:01 PM7.716317.95797+0.241662
248:07 PM6.895669.30029+2.40463
298:12 PM13.85419.00765-4.84647

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.