Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 26, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 26, 2026, 7:37 PM to 8:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 26, 2026 at 7:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -13.9841. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 8:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.6114.5539.7Sep 26, 7:37 PM ET8:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.6114.5539.7Sep 26, 7:37 PM ET8:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:37 PM ET-13.9841
Projected value at 8:06 PM ET14.9004
Actual value at 8:06 PM ET12.0766
Projected change across the window+28.8845
Actual change across the window+26.0607
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (8:06 PM ET), where they sat 2.82373 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (7:37 PM ET) with a gap of 57.0625. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 7 (7:44 PM ET), a move of +4.63291. The projected path stayed on one side of the recorded values for the whole window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:38 PM39.6869-11.0995-50.7864
67:43 PM24.3959-3.91485-28.3108
127:49 PM21.41275.64962-15.7631
187:55 PM19.805111.778-8.02716
248:01 PM17.0839-0.0515588-17.1354
298:06 PM14.900412.0766-2.82373

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.