Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 12, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 12, 2026, 11:13 AM to 11:42 AM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 12, 2026 at 11:13 AM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -18.5841. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 11:42 AM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-34.02-18.56-3.089Sep 12, 11:13 AM ET11:42 AM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 11:13 AM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-34.02-18.56-3.089Sep 12, 11:13 AM ET11:42 AM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 11:13 AM ET-18.5841
Projected value at 11:42 AM ET-1.10411
Actual value at 11:42 AM ET-4.948
Projected change across the window+17.48
Actual change across the window+13.6361
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.28×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The projection overshot: it called for 1.28 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 27 (11:39 AM ET), where they sat 0.0581974 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (11:32 AM ET) with a gap of 17.3956. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 23 (11:36 AM ET), a move of +6.42424. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
111:14 AM-35.4656-22.7285+12.7371
611:19 AM-32.893-22.2758+10.6172
1211:25 AM-21.8537-19.9062+1.9475
1811:31 AM-11.9531-29.0268-17.0737
2411:37 AM-4.32248-6.77415-2.45167
2911:42 AM-1.10411-4.948-3.84389

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.