Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 6:13 PM to 6:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 6:13 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 67.6094. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-11.6727.4566.58Sep 5, 6:13 PM ET6:42 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-11.6727.4566.58Sep 5, 6:13 PM ET6:42 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:13 PM ET67.6094
Projected value at 6:42 PM ET11.0723
Actual value at 6:42 PM ET-16.9195
Projected change across the window-56.537
Actual change across the window-84.5289
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.67×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.67 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (6:35 PM ET), where they sat 0.75142 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (6:13 PM ET) with a gap of 70.0715. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 10 (6:23 PM ET), a move of -11.1679. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:14 PM8.7243671.8295+63.1051
66:19 PM26.535159.476+32.9409
126:25 PM20.387419.0353-1.35213
186:31 PM16.175930.0531+13.8772
246:37 PM15.38598.29056-7.0953
296:42 PM11.0723-16.9195-27.9919

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.