Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 6:03 PM to 6:32 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 6:03 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 41.6196. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:32 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-20.979.23939.45Sep 5, 6:03 PM ET6:32 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:03 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-20.979.23939.45Sep 5, 6:03 PM ET6:32 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:03 PM ET41.6196
Projected value at 6:32 PM ET8.65731
Actual value at 6:32 PM ET16.0877
Projected change across the window-32.9623
Actual change across the window-25.5319
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.29×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The projection overshot: it called for 1.29 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 1 (6:03 PM ET), where they sat 1.46377 apart, and furthest at bar 24 (6:27 PM ET) with a gap of 38.4119. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (6:04 PM ET), a move of -11.1679. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:04 PM42.621430.4518-12.1697
66:09 PM35.05821.7594-13.2987
126:15 PM22.828519.4447-3.3838
186:21 PM17.8147-9.03106-26.8458
246:27 PM13.3851-25.0267-38.4119
296:32 PM8.6573116.0877+7.43039

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.