Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 5:57 PM to 6:26 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 5:57 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 21.7594. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:26 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-21.772.51326.79Sep 5, 5:57 PM ET6:26 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:57 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-21.772.51326.79Sep 5, 5:57 PM ET6:26 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:57 PM ET21.7594
Projected value at 6:26 PM ET2.57148
Actual value at 6:26 PM ET-12.1478
Projected change across the window-19.1879
Actual change across the window-33.9071
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading25 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 25 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (6:04 PM ET), where they sat 0.415795 apart, and furthest at bar 18 (6:15 PM ET) with a gap of 27.4504. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (6:25 PM ET), a move of -12.8844. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:58 PM22.680526.427+3.74649
66:03 PM17.381919.4447+2.06276
126:09 PM9.96387-9.03106-18.9949
186:15 PM2.42374-25.0267-27.4504
246:21 PM-0.79368119.2145+20.0082
296:26 PM2.57148-12.1478-14.7192

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.