Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 4:44 PM to 5:13 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 4:44 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 42.4297. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:13 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

3.93826.7249.49Sep 5, 4:44 PM ET5:13 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:44 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

3.93826.7249.49Sep 5, 4:44 PM ET5:13 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:44 PM ET42.4297
Projected value at 5:13 PM ET4.03497
Actual value at 5:13 PM ET0.879147
Projected change across the window-38.3947
Actual change across the window-41.5506
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading22 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.92×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.92 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 22 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 30 (5:13 PM ET), where they sat 3.15582 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:44 PM ET) with a gap of 37.8404. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 28 (5:12 PM ET), a move of -9.69465. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:45 PM10.898747.5526+36.654
64:50 PM16.738252.5524+35.8142
124:56 PM14.107518.6379+4.53034
185:02 PM18.931123.4257+4.49461
245:08 PM9.8689625.7461+15.8772
295:13 PM4.034970.879147-3.15582

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.