Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 4:43 PM to 5:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 4:43 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 47.5526. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1.1712449.17Sep 5, 4:43 PM ET5:12 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:43 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1.1712449.17Sep 5, 4:43 PM ET5:12 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:43 PM ET47.5526
Projected value at 5:12 PM ET4.80408
Actual value at 5:12 PM ET-4.55112
Projected change across the window-42.7486
Actual change across the window-52.1038
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading24 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 24 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (5:10 PM ET), where they sat 4.59373 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:43 PM ET) with a gap of 51.9886. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 27 (5:10 PM ET), a move of -9.69465. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:44 PM4.5321249.8312+45.2991
64:49 PM16.620451.4501+34.8297
124:55 PM10.462820.9517+10.4889
185:01 PM16.225722.3531+6.12743
245:07 PM9.3786726.833+17.4544
295:12 PM4.80408-4.55112-9.3552

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.