Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 4:42 PM to 5:11 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 4:42 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 49.8312. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:11 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-9.05119.8148.68Sep 5, 4:42 PM ET5:11 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:42 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-9.05119.8148.68Sep 5, 4:42 PM ET5:11 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:42 PM ET49.8312
Projected value at 5:11 PM ET4.79902
Actual value at 5:11 PM ET-5.17976
Projected change across the window-45.0322
Actual change across the window-55.011
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.82×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.82 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 28 (5:09 PM ET), where they sat 3.51524 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:42 PM ET) with a gap of 62.7582. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 26 (5:08 PM ET), a move of -9.69465. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:43 PM-9.2061149.0087+58.2148
64:48 PM6.7741345.2814+38.5072
124:54 PM3.1804223.2385+20.0581
185:00 PM10.041421.5864+11.5451
245:06 PM8.3389525.3587+17.0198
295:11 PM4.79902-5.17976-9.97879

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.