Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 4:37 PM to 5:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 4:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 52.5524. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 5:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-22.0412.9147.86Sep 5, 4:37 PM ET5:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 4:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-22.0412.9147.86Sep 5, 4:37 PM ET5:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 4:37 PM ET52.5524
Projected value at 5:06 PM ET7.47125
Actual value at 5:06 PM ET-26.7337
Projected change across the window-45.0812
Actual change across the window-79.2861
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading30 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.57×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.57 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 30 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 23 (4:59 PM ET), where they sat 2.8772 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (4:37 PM ET) with a gap of 78.9955. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 22 (4:59 PM ET), a move of -9.69465. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
14:38 PM-18.445151.4501+69.8952
64:43 PM5.466718.6379+13.1711
124:49 PM9.2884523.4257+14.1373
184:55 PM4.814925.7461+20.9313
245:01 PM10.1184-4.55112-14.6695
295:06 PM7.47125-26.7337-34.205

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.