Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 5, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 5, 2026, 12:11 PM to 12:40 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 5, 2026 at 12:11 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read 23.5344. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 12:40 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-10.467.55325.57Sep 5, 12:11 PM ET12:40 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 12:11 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-10.467.55325.57Sep 5, 12:11 PM ET12:40 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 12:11 PM ET23.5344
Projected value at 12:40 PM ET1.73483
Actual value at 12:40 PM ET0.307529
Projected change across the window-21.7995
Actual change across the window-23.2268
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading27 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.94×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to fall across the window, and it fell. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.94 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 27 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 8 (12:18 PM ET), where they sat 1.07212 apart, and furthest at bar 17 (12:28 PM ET) with a gap of 31.285. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 14 (12:25 PM ET), a move of +10.2955. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
112:12 PM10.333523.1514+12.8179
612:17 PM9.6651812.817+3.15182
1212:23 PM1.46632-3.55353-5.01985
1812:29 PM-4.2652923.5706+27.8359
2412:35 PM-3.80761-11.6039-7.79634
2912:40 PM1.734830.307529-1.4273

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.