Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 7:13 PM to 7:42 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 7:13 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -112.446. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:42 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-101.449.01199.4Sep 4, 7:13 PM ET7:42 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:13 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-101.449.01199.4Sep 4, 7:13 PM ET7:42 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:13 PM ET-112.446
Projected value at 7:42 PM ET0.695657
Actual value at 7:42 PM ET29.0639
Projected change across the window+113.141
Actual change across the window+141.51
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading28 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.80×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The market travelled further than projected — the projection covered only 0.80 times the realised distance. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 28 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 19 (7:31 PM ET), where they sat 5.57987 apart, and furthest at bar 22 (7:35 PM ET) with a gap of 216.168. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 20 (7:33 PM ET), a move of +69.0104. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:14 PM0.0533231-121.564-121.617
67:19 PM7.4612468.1598+60.6986
127:25 PM6.8619717.5243+10.6623
187:31 PM6.9718612.5517+5.57987
247:37 PM0.9972182.343+181.346
297:42 PM0.69565729.0639+28.3683

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.