Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 7:11 PM to 7:40 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 7:11 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -121.564. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:40 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-101.449.01199.4Sep 4, 7:11 PM ET7:40 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:11 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-101.449.01199.4Sep 4, 7:11 PM ET7:40 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:11 PM ET-121.564
Projected value at 7:40 PM ET0.582235
Actual value at 7:40 PM ET23.6748
Projected change across the window+122.146
Actual change across the window+145.238
Bars moving the same direction21 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual0.84×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 0.84 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 72% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (7:28 PM ET), where they sat 9.58523 apart, and furthest at bar 21 (7:32 PM ET) with a gap of 215.223. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 19 (7:30 PM ET), a move of +69.0104. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:12 PM-5.4082-98.3102-92.902
67:17 PM1.1190686.1966+85.0776
127:23 PM2.37639-11.5992-13.9756
187:29 PM3.9309364.0127+60.0818
247:35 PM1.87128141.677+139.806
297:40 PM0.58223523.6748+23.0925

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.