Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 7:10 PM to 7:39 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 7:10 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -64.0029. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:39 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-47.2177.79202.8Sep 4, 7:10 PM ET7:39 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 7:10 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-47.2177.79202.8Sep 4, 7:10 PM ET7:39 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 7:10 PM ET-64.0029
Projected value at 7:39 PM ET1.15911
Actual value at 7:39 PM ET-5.34615
Projected change across the window+65.162
Actual change across the window+58.6568
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 2 (7:11 PM ET), where they sat 4.41418 apart, and furthest at bar 19 (7:29 PM ET) with a gap of 213.857. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 17 (7:27 PM ET), a move of +69.0104. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
17:11 PM-9.70288-14.1171-4.41418
67:16 PM-1.2685674.8219+76.0905
127:22 PM4.00689-44.4839-48.4907
187:28 PM5.11102192.881+187.77
247:34 PM5.0728649.7297+44.6568
297:39 PM1.15911-5.34615-6.50526

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.