Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 6:37 PM to 7:06 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 6:37 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -120.774. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 7:06 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-203.5-97.258.981Sep 4, 6:37 PM ET7:06 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 6:37 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-203.5-97.258.981Sep 4, 6:37 PM ET7:06 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 6:37 PM ET-120.774
Projected value at 7:06 PM ET3.96386
Actual value at 7:06 PM ET-190.66
Projected change across the window+124.738
Actual change across the window-69.8853
Bars moving the same direction19 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading19 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.78×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise, while it fell instead. The projection overshot: it called for 1.78 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 66% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 19 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 10 (6:46 PM ET), where they sat 3.66716 apart, and furthest at bar 26 (7:03 PM ET) with a gap of 220.463. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 2 (6:39 PM ET), a move of +56.7069. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
16:38 PM10.1791-92.9584-103.137
66:43 PM13.7865-7.38612-21.1726
126:49 PM8.0431216.5944+8.55132
186:55 PM7.18906-76.2534-83.4425
247:01 PM5.24856-189.488-194.736
297:06 PM3.96386-190.66-194.623

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.