Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 5:43 PM to 6:12 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 5:43 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -727.674. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:12 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-1,045-525.5-6.067Sep 4, 5:43 PM ET6:12 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:43 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-1,045-525.5-6.067Sep 4, 5:43 PM ET6:12 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:43 PM ET-727.674
Projected value at 6:12 PM ET1.2279
Actual value at 6:12 PM ET-53.4701
Projected change across the window+728.901
Actual change across the window+674.203
Bars moving the same direction20 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading20 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.08×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.08 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 69% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 20 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 18 (6:00 PM ET), where they sat 0.250657 apart, and furthest at bar 6 (5:49 PM ET) with a gap of 1,103.27. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 11 (5:54 PM ET), a move of +244.404. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:44 PM3.63431-817.989-821.623
65:49 PM-11.4066-1,114.67-1,103.27
125:55 PM-6.02944-237.834-231.804
186:01 PM-5.35945-29.8475-24.488
246:07 PM-2.19934-48.6274-46.428
296:12 PM1.2279-53.4701-54.698

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.