Awesome Oscillator forecast vs outcome — BTCUSD, 1-minute chart, September 4, 2026

Educational reference. Data covers September 4, 2026, 5:32 PM to 6:01 PM ET. This window has closed; every value below already printed.

On September 4, 2026 at 5:32 PM ET, Awesome Oscillator on the BTCUSD 1-minute chart read -481.692. The model projected the next 30 bars from that point. The window ran to 6:01 PM ET and has since closed, so the projection and the outcome can be placed side by side.

What was projected

-449.4-20931.41Sep 4, 5:32 PM ET6:01 PM ET
Projected Awesome Oscillator path, 30 bars from 5:32 PM ET. Dashed line marks the reading at the start of the window.

What actually printed

-449.4-20931.41Sep 4, 5:32 PM ET6:01 PM ET
Recorded Awesome Oscillator values over the same 30 bars.

The two paths, side by side

Reading at 5:32 PM ET-481.692
Projected value at 6:01 PM ET1.01598
Actual value at 6:01 PM ET-45.9128
Projected change across the window+482.708
Actual change across the window+435.78
Bars moving the same direction18 of 29
Bars on the projected side of the opening reading29 of 30
Projected move relative to actual1.11×

Reading this window

The projection called for Awesome Oscillator to rise across the window, and it rose. The two moves were close in size: the projection covered 1.11 times the distance the market actually travelled. Bar to bar, 62% of the moves ran the same way as the projection, and 29 of the 30 bars finished on the projected side of the opening reading. One window is a single observation, not a pattern; it is published here so the projection and the outcome can be checked against each other.

How the window developed

The two paths were closest at bar 6 (5:37 PM ET), where they sat 3.40368 apart, and furthest at bar 0 (5:32 PM ET) with a gap of 492.948. The largest single-bar change in the recorded values came at bar 1 (5:33 PM ET), a move of +243.859. The projected and recorded paths crossed at least once inside the window.

Bar-by-bar read-out

Six points sampled across the 30 bars, showing the projected value, the value that printed, and the difference between them.

BarTime (ET)ProjectedRecordedDifference
15:33 PM16.3972-237.834-254.231
65:38 PM9.08213-5.66441-14.7465
125:44 PM2.62779-57.1062-59.734
185:50 PM0.990319-53.4701-54.4604
245:56 PM5.48297-59.644-65.127
296:01 PM1.01598-45.9128-46.9287

About Awesome Oscillator on a 1-minute chart

The Awesome Oscillator measures the gap between a short and a longer moving average of bar midpoints, so it reflects shifts in momentum rather than price level. On the 1-minute timeframe a 30-bar projection covers 30 minutes of trading, so the window above describes 30 minutes of BTCUSD activity rather than a single print.

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Trading involves risk. Past performance and model projections do not guarantee future results. This page is a record of one closed window, published for educational reference, and is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any instrument.